2025 TGL Finals Betting Odds: Which Team Will Win It All?
Ok, golf fans, the TGL is NOT your dad’s regular 18 holes. Tomorrow’s Golf League is powered by SoFi, and it’s a new one where PGA TOUR stars go head-to-head in prime time under the lights of an arena. Yes, an arena! There are six teams of superstar duffers, and they are repping cities from across the U.S. The simulator league was founded by golf legends Rory McElroy and Tiger Woods.
But back to the arena. It was custom-built for this, and it’s at Palm Beach State College in Florida. Because it’s indoors, it means there are no rain delays and no marathon rounds—it’s just two hours of edge-of-your-seat action every week! The players are mic’d-up, there’s a lot of new tech, and every shot is live. Like we said, it’s not your dad’s regular Saturday round of golf! For two hours, fans can watch fast-paced, nail-biter matches.
And the inaugural season of TGL is closing in on the finals—the race for the SoFi Cup is tight. New York Golf Club (NYGC) has locked up its spot in the Finals, which changed the betting odds due to their semifinal victory over Los Angeles Golf Club (LAGC). They’ll be up against Atlanta Drive GC, who beat The Bay Golf Club on March 18 with a final score of 9 < 3 to secure their spot in the finals.
TGL’s combo of next-level tech, bite-sized (two hours is a minute compared to PGA round) matches that will keep you watching all of the action, and a roster that’s loaded with golf’s elite has made the league into a bettor’s playground. And with the Finals right around the corner, the real questions come into play: Who’s actually built to win this thing? And where are the hidden gems in those odds? Let’s tee it up!
Overview of the 2025 TGL Finals
The 2025 TGL Finals are almost here, and the stakes are pretty high! Starting on March 24th, the teams will battle it out in a best-of-three showdown at Palm Beach Gardens’ SoFi Center—which is the aforementioned high-tech arena we talked about and where the players play on simulated courses under the stadium lights. There are no meticulously kept sprawling greens or quiet crowds here; no, this is a different type of golf. The first team to lock in two wins takes the title, and there could be a possible tiebreaker on March 26th.
Two hours per match. That’s it! Every drive, chip, and putt happens in quick-fire succession, and the teams play until one secures two victories. If things stay close, March 26th could decide it all. ESPN’s live coverage means that you can watch every moment—no waiting around like regular golf tourneys. Players all have mics for those “hot mic” moments (regular golf would never), and the arena is filled with spectators (you have to buy tickets). It’s golf that has been stripped down, kinda like part Topgolf and part Super Bowl.
After some stiff competition, the playoffs have been narrowed down to three teams, and the final three have earned their spots the hard way:
– New York Golf Club shocked everyone by toppling LA’s star-powered squad. How? With a cold-blooded concentration, they showed when it mattered most.
– The Bay Golf Club got knocked out of final contention by Atlanta Drive GC and secured the last Finals slot.
TGL’s format is actually a bettor’s dream! Quick matches mean faster results, and the team-driven “Triples” setup (which is where three players alternate shots) turns every hole into a showdown. One player’s hot streak or a wobbly partnership can change the odds in a second. The smartest bettors are watching the live markets, player chemistry, and prop bets like “longest drive” or “closest to the pin.” Your best shot? Act early! The odds change much quicker here than in traditional tournaments. And keep a really close watch on the teams that do their best under pressure; nerves matter more than ever in the arena setting.
Confirmed Finalist: New York Golf Club
New York Golf Club has been the dark horse that nobody saw coming. All season, they’ve zigged when others zagged, and now? They’re not just crashing the Finals party—they’re looking to take the whole thing back to the Big Apple. Their semifinal win was far from a fluke; it showed off their grit and precision. The team’s gone from “Wait, who are they?” to “Oh, them” in no time flat
Team Snapshot
The NYGC roster reads like it’s a perfectly balanced meal: there is a mix of experienced pros and some really hungry (and impressive) newcomers. No egos and no drama—just four guys who’ve figured out how to piggyback and amplify each other’s strengths. Here’s who makes up the NY team:
- Matt Fitzpatrick: The silent assassin. No gimmicks, just straight-up results. Give him a close match, and he’ll perform like a superstar surgeon.
- Rickie Fowler: The team’s heartbeat. Loud, passionate, and the kind of leader who’d bust through a wall like the Kool-Aid man if it meant hyping up the squad.
- Xander Schauffele: The human metronome. Pressure? He giggles at it. When the pressure is on, he’s the guy you want lining up the putt.
- Cameron Young: The bazooka. His drives are so insanely long they might as well come with a parachute.
Playoff Performance
That 6-4 takedown of Los Angeles GC? It wasn’t only a win—it was a strong statement. Schauffele turned into a robot in the singles matches, and he was sinking putts like he’d mapped out the greens in his sleep. Fowler and Young? They came out swinging early, bullying LAGC into mistakes with aggressive plays that gave the crowd (and probably their opponents) a little bit of vertigo. And Fitzpatrick? Steady as ever, he was plugging any leaks before they turned into problems. Nobody expected NYGC to outmuscle LA’s star power, but here we are.
Strengths
The secret to NYGC isn’t only their raw talent—it’s how they’ve learned to use it in the following ways:
- Adaptability: They’re like a team of chameleons. Did the recreated environmental wind shift (there’s no actual wind in an arena)? Elevation changes? This team adapts quicker than you can say “mulligan.”
- Clutch DNA: Schauffele, who maybe has ice running through his veins, and Fowler’s fiery leadership have saved them more times than we can count. When the pressure is on, the two of them are on their game.
- Boom Factor: Young’s driver isn’t a regular golf club; that thing is a weapon. On the simulator’s long holes, he gives NYGC a big head start before the others have even teed off.
Weaknesses
But even with their amazing semifinal performance, there are a few areas where NYGC could be vulnerable—after all, no one is invincible:
- Putting Jitters: The simulator greens has given them problems before. Missed five-footers in earlier matches cost them big time, and this area could still give them some trouble.
- Schauffele Dependency: If the stoic star has an off night, the whole team will feel it. Fowler and Young can most definitely carry the weight, but the margin for error will shrink fast.
Current Odds
Before the semifinals, sportsbooks had NYGC at +320, which was basically like saying, “Yah, they’re good, but champions? Nah.” After decimating LAGC? Don’t expect those odds to stay cozy. Bettors are already pouncing, so watch for updated lines. If you’re thinking of backing them, now’s the time…before the bandwagon gets overcrowded.
The Second Finalist: Atlanta Drive G
The last Finals spot is no longer up for grabs—The Bay Golf Club lost to Atlanta Drive GC. The matchup was pretty much as close as it gets; both teams entered at -110 odds.
Semifinal Showdown
Entering the match with evenly matched odds, both teams were expected to deliver a nail-biting contest. However, Atlanta Drive GC dominated the proceedings, showcasing their prowess and determination. The trio of Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay, and Billy Horschel played pivotal roles in the victory, each contributing significantly to the team’s success.
Atlanta Drive GC Profile
Atlanta Drive GC has consistently demonstrated their resilience and skill, which makes them a formidable opponent in the TGL Finals!
Roster: The team looks pretty stacked with a lineup of experienced golf pros:
- Lucas Glover
- Patrick Cantlay
- Justin Thomas
- Billy Horschel
Season Highlights
After a mid-season loss to The Bay Golf Club, Atlanta Drive GC had an impressive rebound and finished the regular season with a 4-1 record. They learned from their setbacks and changed strategies, which were both big components of their success.
Betting Odds
Before the semifinals, Atlanta Drive GC was listed at +260 to win the championship, which cemented their status as strong contenders.
X-Factor
The team’s overall strength lies in their exceptional short-game skills and the singular brilliance of players like Thomas and Cantlay. Their proficiency around the greens and their ability to handle high-pressure situations make them really dangerous in the TGL format!
Prediction for Finals
The Finals will feature a best-of-three series between New York Golf Club (NYGC) and Atlanta Drive GC, and it’ll no doubt be an exciting meeting of styles and tactics.
Updated Odds
Although specific odds for the Finals haven’t been released as of this posting, Atlanta Drive GC’s dominant semifinal performance could put them in the as slight favorites. But NYGC’s momentum from their upset over Los Angeles GC could attract bettors who are looking for more value.
Key Matchups
- Xander Schauffele (NYGC) vs. Justin Thomas (Atlanta): Both players have been instrumental in their teams’ successes, and their head-to-head could be pivotal.
- Rickie Fowler (NYGC) vs. Patrick Cantlay (Atlanta): Fowler’s flair is in stark contrast with Cantlay’s consistency, and that sets the stage for a truly compelling duel.
Best Bets
- Outright Winner: Given Atlanta Drive GC’s recent form and depth, betting on them to clinch the SoFi Cup could be a smart choice.
- Series Length: Considering the competitive nature of both finals teams, wagering on the series going to a decisive third match could offer a lot of value.
Updated 2025 TGL Finals Betting Odds
The 2025 TGL Finals matchup is now locked in, and the betting markets are adjusting. With New York Golf Club and Atlanta Drive GC set to battle it out for the SoFi Cup, sportsbooks have updated their odds, which now reflect the teams’ recent performances and overall chances of winning it all.
Championship Odds
Here’s where things stand at FanDuel Sportsbook after the semifinals:
| Team | Odds to Win the SoFi Cup |
|---|---|
New York Golf Club | +100 |
Atlanta Drive GC | +230 |
NOTE: Odds are current as of March 18, 2025, but could change in the days leading up to the Finals!
Breaking Down the Odds
New York Golf Club (+100): NYGC is coming in hot as the favorite after taking down Los Angeles GC in the semifinals. The balanced roster and recent momentum have oddsmakers feeling confident that they can pull off another big win. With Xander Schauffele leading them, their experience and team chemistry make them a solid pick.
Atlanta Drive GC (+230): Atlanta enters the Finals as an underdog, but they’ve been exceeding expectations all season. Their 9-3 win over The Bay GC in the semis showed they’re more than capable of pulling off another upset. Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay bring some serious firepower, and their short-game skillset could be a difference-maker in the Finals.
Game 1 is set for March 24, so you should expect the odds to change as bettors weigh in and line movements show the latest insights. If you’re looking for value, now’s the time to lock in your bet before any huge swings happen!
Line Movement
The underdogs (New York GC) spanking Los Angeles sent some seismic shifts through the odds. Their odds tightened from +320 to +175 overnight, and sportsbooks are getting prepped for another shakeup after Atlanta won the semifinal.
Why does this matter? Bay, which had been a consistent favorite all season, didn’t move forward, so their odds dropped. Even after Atlanta won the semifinals, they still are seen as an underdog (slightly) (+180) but will now bring in the more risk-tolerant bettors.
Get in on NYGC’s odds now if you like their momentum. But don’t overlook Atlanta—they beat the presumptive favorite and clinched the last spot.
Betting Markets
In addition to the outright winner, the following is where the action’s heating up betting-wise:
- Game 1 Winner: Early leans favor whoever faces off against NYGC, but again, the team has proven without a doubt that they thrive when they’re underestimated.
- Total Points Over/Under: Books are setting the line at 22.5 points per match, and with aggressive playstyles, the over has dollar signs written all over it.
Prop Bets
- Longest Drive in Finals: Cameron Young of New York Golf Club is the heavy favorite for the longest drive in the Finals, with odds at -120. However, don’t overlook Atlanta Drive GC’s Justin Thomas, who averages 324.6 yards off the tee and could pose a serious challenge.
- Clutch Putt of the Night: Schauffele’s almost robotic focus definitely makes him a smart pick (+200).
- First to 10 Points: High-risk, high-reward, which is great for live betting.
FYI: TGL’s two-hour format means there is a lot of volatility. Live bets on momentum shifts (e.g., a player heating up mid-match) could be a really valuable wager!
Important Factors to Watch in the Finals
When you’re watching the TGL Finals, don’t forget that it will not be won on raw talent alone—it also comes down to tactics, adaptability, and, of course, being able to execute under pressure. With its high-tech simulator setup, team-based formats, and make-or-break decision-making, there are important factors that could change the outcome!
The way teams handle the virtual course, team dynamics, individual matchups, and strategic moments will all play their parts in deciding who gets to lift the SoFi Cup.
Simulator Edge
We need to make one thing really clear: This isn’t your local Topgolf. The SoFi Center’s tech turns every swing into a science experiment. Sure, every finalist is a pro golfer, but the simulator doesn’t give a hoot about your reputation on the real fairway.
Big hitters like Cameron Young or Ludvig Åberg are able to dominate the long holes—like a driver smashing a ball into a screen that says, “Cool, let’s pretend that went 350 yards.” But once they rotate to the Green Zone (a real-life short-game area), it’s a whole different story. Because now, the oh-so-delicate chips and putts on always-changing greens decide everything. And if your team’s got a nervous putter? Good luck to you!
Some players have adapted quickly to the artificial conditions, and then there are the ones who are having a harder time getting acclimated. The ones who have strong data-driven approaches to their games—players like Patrick Cantlay and Matt Fitzpatrick—will probably have an edge in adjusting to spin, speed, and distance control in a simulator setting.
One night, the greens could mimic Augusta’s slippery slopes, and the next, they’re covered in faux bunkers. Teams with short-game stunners—the guys who can flop-shot a ball onto a dinner plate—will survive this.
Basically, the teams that excel at both long-game power and short-game precision will have the best shot at winning the Finals!
Team Chemistry
Golf is usually a solo sport, but TGL’s Triples format (holes 1-9) forces the teammates to act like, well, teammates. It’s like a three-legged race in a pressure cooker.
Schauffele’s the calm CEO, Fowler’s the hype man, Fitzpatrick’s the quiet fixer, and Young’s the human highlight reel. Together, they’ve turned clutch moments into an art form. When Fowler yells, “Let’s go!” after a putt, you can actually see the whole squad lock-in.
Atlanta Drive GC’s teamwork has been one of their biggest strengths, and it showed in their 9-3 semifinal win over The Bay GC. Their ability to scramble and save par in alternate-shot play has been a key factor, especially with Patrick Cantlay and Justin Thomas excelling in pressure situations. While they may not have the same driving power as NYGC’s Cameron Young, their short-game precision and ability to capitalize on mistakes make them a dangerous opponent in the Finals.
The team that negotiates the alternate-shot format with the fewest mistakes and has a better rhythm will most likely gain an early edge in the Finals!
Singles Showdowns
Once the Triples format ends on Hole 9, the Finals will transition into head-to-head singles matchups from Holes 10-15. There are no teammates to bail you out. It’s just you, the simulator, and a rival who wants to ruin your night.
The following are the possible main matchups:
Two short-game maestros will be going head-to-head. Schauffele’s steady precision will meet Thomas’ aggressive flair, making this a battle of nerves and clutch play. And both excel under pressure, so this matchup could decide the Finals.
Rickie’s the kind of guy who’d sink a putt and then mean mug you after. If he squares off against Patrick Cantlay (aka “The Iceman”), it’ll be fire vs. frost. Cantlay definitely won’t flinch, but it’s fair to say that Fowler’s energy would probably rattle anyone.
If NYGC needs a momentum swing, they’ll unleash Cameron Young. Dude’s drives are so long that they might as well come with a string of exclamation points. But if his putter goes cold? Uh-oh.
The Hammer
TGL’s biggest strategic surprise is called the Hammer, and it’s where a team can double the value of a hole’s points if and when they choose to activate it. In the Finals, you can expect teams to use this rule as aggressively as they possibly can!
Teams will most likely save it for a hole they have a clear advantage on, no matter if it’s a long par-4 for a power player or a short par-3 for a precise ball-striker like Matt Fitzpatrick.
The threat of a Hammer can be as powerful as the move itself. If a team is behind by two points, and then they hear that the other team might use theirs on the next hole? That could force you to act. Do you play it safe? Or do you go all in?
A well-timed Hammer can also put on the psychological pressure. If a team forces their opponent into a mistake, it can be as valuable as just winning the hole outright.
Expert Betting Picks
You ready for some expert betting tips? You got it! And if you weren’t aware, TGL has its very own mobile app that you can download from their website by clicking here. You can also search for it in the App Store or Google Play and grab it there!
The official app has everything—live streaming, scores, play by plays, stats, rosters, match highlights, etc. It’s a perfect companion platform to find all of the details about the TDL Finals. And it looks really cool watching it all play out!
If you use the app, you can make bets as well! You’ll be redirected to the FanDuel sportsbook TGL betting odds page—super convenient!
Because the betting odds are changing after every match that’s played, finding the best value picks for the TGL Finals means that you have to look at the trends, matchups, and any possible advantages before you lay down a wager!
Best Bet
Based on the current betting landscape, New York GC is a really strong value pick for winning the SoFi Cup.
- Odds before the semifinals: +320
- Projected odds after semifinals: Likely around +175 or lower
Why Are They the Best Bet?– Momentum is on their side: NYGC is coming off a statement win over LAGC, and they proved that they can come through in high-pressure matches.
– Schauffele’s form: He has been one of the best performers in TGL, which makes him a super reliable anchor.
– Triples format success: Their chemistry has helped them excel in alternate-shot play, and that gives them a leg up early on in matches.
– If the odds hold steady around +175 to +200, NYGC has a lot of value as a championship pick.
Alternative Bet
For those who are looking to hedge or take a risk on an early-game bet, you might want to think about backing the second finalist to win Game 1.
- Atlanta Drive GC has been really strong under pressure, with clutch putting and match play experience giving them an advantage in sticky situations.
- New York GC has been the more consistent team, but Game 1 introduces a new Finals setting, which could definitely work in Atlanta’s favor.
- Fast starts have been important in TGL matches, and Game 1 will set the tone for the series, meaning that Atlanta could take advantage before NYGC has a chance to fully settle in.
If Atlanta enters as an underdog for Game 1, there’s good value in backing them to strike first.
Prop Bets
TGL’s different format brings with it some really unique betting chances that lean into its rapid-fire and tech-driven style! The following are some of the pops that are getting the attention or sharps:
- Rickie Fowler – Longest Putt Made: Fowler’s knack for draining dramatic putts is outstanding in the simulator environment, where the green speeds are consistent and external factors (like wind or terrain) don’t really exist. His confidence under pressure makes him a favorite, but don’t forget about Matt Fitzpatrick! His technical precision has run roughshod over short-game challenges all season long.
- Cameron Young – Longest Drive: This one is a no-brainer, as Young’s raw power off the tee is only amplified in the simulator, and this is where distance reigns supreme. Young’s launches bombs, period.
- Xander Schauffele – Singles Match Win: Schauffele’s composure in high-pressure moments makes this a great bet. He’s lost only one singles match all season, and his ability to adapt mid-game—no matter if he’s up against a rising star like Åberg or vets like Justin Thomas—makes him a super reliable pick.
- Total Points Over/Under: With aggressive playstyles and the Hammer rule in play, matches tend to be all over the place. Books are setting the line at 22.5 points per match, but teams like NYGC and The Bay GC usually push totals higher with their risk-reward strategies.
The Rationale for Our Expert Bets
The format of TGL totally upends conventional golf analytics, and this is what (and why) we think will matter most:
- Simulator-Specific Skills: Players who excel in quick adjustments (e.g., tweaking ball flight for virtual wind) will outperform those who are reliant on real-world course knowledge. Patrick Cantlay’s analytical approach and Fitzpatrick’s data-driven game will flourish here.
- Team Dynamics Over Individual Stats: NYGC’s success all hinges on how well Schauffele’s calm pairs with Fowler’s energy and Young’s power. A disjointed team, even if it has star players, will crumble under the alternate-shot pressure.
- The Hammer Effect: This rule rewards the teams that are studying their opponents’ tendencies. NYGC usually uses theirs on the holes where Young’s driving distance forces rivals into defensive play.
Smart Betting Strategies
Focus on Live Betting: Momentum changes constantly during TGL’s two-hour setup. If a team starts out slow but has a history of comebacks (like NYGC), odds will spike mid-game, so strike before the Hammer resets the board.
Target Underrated Props
- Most Sand Saves: If the Green Zone has bunkers, Fitzpatrick’s short-game consistency becomes invaluable.
- First to 10 Points: Teams who start out strong make this format a live-betting bonanza.
Fade the Public’s Love for Stars
- Casual bettors always overvalue big names (Fowler’s popularity inflates his odds). Look for the value in the quieter contributors—Fitzpatrick’s “Top Scorer” odds might be softer than they should be.
Watch for Hammer Patterns
Track which holes the teams use their Hammer on. NYGC favors par-5s for Young’s power; The Bay GC might target par-3s for precision. Betting on “Hammer Success Rate” could definitely exploit these trends!
How to Bet on the 2025 TGL Finals
Betting on the TGL Finals adds even more excitement to this historic first championship showdown! Because the odds are always shifting and with different betting markets available, you need to know how and where to bet and the strategies you can use! Trust us, we know of what we speak—it can make a big difference.
Where to Bet
A lot of major sportsbooks are going all-in on the TGL Finals, but we think that the following ones are the best for betting on this brand-new format:
FanDuel: The popular sportsbook is partnered with TGL (the homepage redirects you to FanDuel) and is the best one for live betting and prop markets like “Longest Drive” or “First Team to Use the Hammer.” And they also run regular odds boosts for high-profile matches.
Bet365: This platform has niche props like “Total Hole-outs” and “Player to Win Most Singles Matches.” Their live updates are insanely fast, and that’s super important for TGL’s quick two-hour matches.
Caesars Sportsbook: This platform is great for newcomers or more inexperienced bettors. Their “First Bet Safety Net” (aka up to $1,000 refunded if your first bet loses) goes really well with TGL’s volatility.
FYI: Use the sign-up bonuses like Bet365’s “Bet $5, Get $150” so that you can explore prop bets risk-free!
Tips for Bettors
Since TGL’s format is new, this means that it’s time for some new betting strategies! We’ve found that the following ones work best:
- Monitor Line Movements: Odds will continue to shift now that the Finals matchup is set, and locking in early value is smart, but waiting for potential line movement before Game 1 might reveal even better opportunities. Watch how the betting action influences the numbers in the days leading up to the first match.
- Don’t Overreact to Regular-Season Results: TGL’s structure means that teams can heat up or cool down in a flash. Playoff form is always a better indicator than past regular-season performances.
- Think About Live Betting: With matches happening in prime time and lasting only two hours, live odds give bettors great opportunities—for those who are paying attention!
Responsible Gambling
The most important thing about betting on the TGL Finals? Doing it responsibly! Look below for how to practice responsible gambling and resources to help if you or someone you care about is struggling:
- Set Limits: Decide on a budget before the Finals begin, like “I’ll only spend $50 across all matches.”
- Use Built-In Tools: Apps like FanDuel give you the ability to set deposit limits or take 24-hour breaks.
Get Help If You Need It
There are free and confidential resources available:
- 1-800-GAMBLER: Immediate support for problem gambling.
- National Council on Problem Gambling: (ncpgambling.org): Guides to self-exclusion or counseling.
TGL (and all other sports) is unpredictable—you should always treat gambling as what it’s meant to be, which is entertainment, not a source of income!
Conclusion
The 2025 TGL Finals are definitely different, and we mean that as a compliment. New York Golf Club had already got their spot before Atlanta beat Bay in the semifinals. And with the betting odds changing in real-time, there are so many chances to get in early and capitalize the value with some tactical wagers!
Look below for a quick recap of where the TGL stands as of now:
- New York Golf Club is in the Finals after knocking off Los Angeles GC.
- The Atlanta Drive GC winner will join them in the championship series.
- Betting odds are changing as the final matchup takes shape, and the betting apps are giving bettors a lot of different options like live bets and player props!
You can check this page or go to TGLGolf.com for the latest updated odds and expert analysis. Tell us what your predictions are in the comments, place your bets, and get ready for the first-ever TGL champion to be crowned the king of the SoFi Arena!
The TGL Finals will be big on action, drama, great golf, and (hopefully) big payouts. It doesn’t matter if you’re betting on the outright winner or just watching for fun—it’s a new and exciting format that makes it a must-watch in the golf world!
